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The commercial auto insurance industry has faced significant challenges in recent years, marked by persistent losses and rising premiums. As we move into 2025, understanding the trends in combined ratios and rate increases is crucial for businesses and insurers alike.

Combined Ratios: A Measure of Profitability

The combined ratio is a key metric in the insurance industry, representing the sum of incurred losses and expenses divided by earned premiums. A ratio below 100% indicates profitability, while a ratio above 100% signifies a loss. Unfortunately, the commercial auto insurance sector has struggled to maintain profitability, with industry combined ratios consistently exceeding 100% over the past decade.1

What’s Driving This?

The cost of auto repairs continues to rise. This can be attributed to factors such as supply chain issues, a reduced workforce, and the race towards electric vehicles. (Read more about these here.)

Lag time in reporting losses can also increase costs due to extended rental car periods, storage fees, and the potential for additional damages while waiting for assessment. This can result in more vehicles being declared total losses due to increased repair costs.

Are Rate Increases Sufficient to Address Struggles?

Are rate increases enough to counteract these losses? Industry trends say no.

Carriers have consistently been increasing premiums and industry results have not gotten better.  Quarterly renewal premium rate increases have averaged over 8% in the last 4 years. 1 Yet despite these increases paid by insureds, combined ratios are not improving.

Looking Ahead: Strategies for Mitigation

As the commercial auto insurance industry navigates these turbulent waters, both insurers and policyholders should adopt strategies to mitigate the impact of rising costs and maintain coverage:

  • Enhanced Underwriting Practices: Insurers may be refining their underwriting criteria to better assess risk and set appropriate premiums.
  • Policy Adjustments: Insurers may offer tailored policies with higher deductibles or coverage limits to manage costs. Policyholders should work closely with their brokers to explore options that balance coverage needs with budget constraints.
  • Risk Management Programs: Businesses can implement comprehensive risk management programs to reduce accident frequency and severity. This includes driver selection and training, regular vehicle maintenance, and adopting safety technologies.

How Fleet Safety Measures Impact the Industry

When discussing fleet safety, onboard technologies are one of the first things brought to mind. However, this is just one component of an effective fleet management program. Simply adding the technology does not immediately make you a better risk. However, when utilized appropriately, it is an essential part. A comprehensive safety program includes:

  • Onboard technologies, such as cameras, telematics, etc.
  • Driver Management
    • Motor Vehicle Record (MVR) qualification and monitoring
    • Ongoing coaching based on camera or telematics feedback
  • Maintenance of autos
  • Report all losses to your carrier promptly so investigation & loss mitigation can begin immediately

When discussing the addition of technology to your safety program, some carriers might apply automatic discounts, but that does not necessarily ring true for all. Ultimately, these tools should lead to loss improvements, which is what underwriters really care about. Demonstration of using onboard technology to manage exposure and drivers can lead to the stabilization of long-term costs. 

In conclusion, the commercial auto insurance industry is at a critical juncture, grappling with high combined ratios and significant rate increases. By understanding these trends and adopting proactive measures, businesses and insurers can better navigate the challenges ahead and ensure sustainable coverage in an evolving market.

Lance Randolph photo
Lance Randolph, RVP Underwriting

1 https://www.insurancejournal.com/magazines/mag-features/2024/07/15/783435.htm

Products and services are provided by one or more insurance company subsidiaries of W.R. Berkley Corporation. Not all products and services are available in every jurisdiction, and the precise coverage afforded by any insurer is subject to the actual terms and conditions of the policies issued. This publication and the information herein is confidential and proprietary to Continental Western Group®. Information in this publication is subject to change at any time. This publication provides general information only, is not legal advice, and is not a statement of contract. Any statement regarding insurance coverage made herein is subject to all provisions and exclusions of the entire insurance policy. Copyright © 2025 Continental Western Group®. All rights reserved. | 2438_GWG_BL_1.2025

Navigating the Commercial Auto Insurance Landscape was last modified: January 31st, 2025 by Lance Randolph