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In recent years, insurance carriers have faced a growing concern known as “social inflation.” Social inflation has significant implications for liability insurers, insurance agents, and insureds.

Economic Inflation vs. Social Inflation

Generally speaking, economic inflation is the rise in the cost of goods and services resulting from market supply and demand. It’s often measured using an index, such as the Consumer Price Index. Social inflation, on the other hand, is an increase in prices not driven by supply and demand, but by other societal factors, some of which are addressed further below.

  1. Rising Litigation Costs: One of the key contributors to social inflation is the escalating cost of litigation. In recent years, the frequency of liability lawsuits related to insurance claims has increased, leading to escalating legal expenses for insurers. While the hourly rates of defense attorneys may be increasing (economic inflation), the increasing frequency of litigation (social inflation) is having a greater impact on insurers’ litigation expenses.
  2. Changing Attitudes: Changes in societal attitudes toward lawsuits, corporations, and compensation for injured parties have contributed to higher claim loss payments (settlements and verdicts). A growing tendency to resort to litigation to resolve disputes has impacted this trend.
  3. Larger Jury Awards: Juries are awarding increasingly larger monetary verdicts, particularly in personal injury cases. The number of “nuclear verdicts”, often defined as jury awards of $10 million and greater, and thermo-nuclear verdicts”, often defined as jury awards of $100 million and greater, are increasing. These increasing jury awards have driven up the cost of liability claims and can have a significant impact on insurance premiums.

Impacts on Insurers, Agents, and Insureds

Unlike economic inflation, there is no existing index measuring social inflation, making it difficult for insurers, agents, and insureds to predict the cost of insurance losses. The consequences of social inflation on insurers, agents, and insureds include, but are not limited to:

  1. Increasing Insurance Premiums: The purpose of insurance is to reduce financial uncertainty by spreading the cost of a risk over a larger pool of people or entities. In addition to economic inflation, which economists and insurance actuaries are accustomed to measuring and predicting using objective data, insurers are now tasked with attempting to account for the far less predictable and often far more substantial cost of social inflation. This ultimately results in increased premiums.
  2. Reduced Profit Margins: The impact of social inflation on claim costs can erode profit margins. In response, insurers increase premiums, reduce coverage, increase deductibles, or exit certain markets to mitigate losses. Similarly, insureds may increase the price of their products or services, exit certain markets, reduce insurance coverages, and/or increase insurance deductibles.
  3. Impact on the Availability of Coverage: Social inflation may cause insurers to reconsider the types of coverage they offer. Some insurers may choose to limit or exclude coverage for certain high-risk lines of business [such as professional liability or medical malpractice]. However, other lines of business, including auto liability and general liability are susceptible.

In conclusion, social inflation is a complex issue that has significant implications for insurers, agents, and insureds. It is important to maintain an understanding of the evolving impact of social inflation on insurance and to be prepared for potential changes in premiums and coverages. As this issue continues to evolve, agents need to stay informed about the state of their clients’ insurance needs and engage in meaningful communication with insurers.

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Products and services are provided by one or more insurance company subsidiaries of W. R. Berkley Corporation. Information in this publication is subject to change at any time. This publication provides general information only, is not legal advice, and is not a statement of contract. Products and services are provided by one or more insurance company subsidiaries of W. R. Berkley Corporation. Any statement regarding insurance coverage made herein is subject to all provisions and exclusions of the entire insurance policy. Copyright © 2023 Continental Western Group®. All rights reserved.| 2391_CWG_BL_Social Inflation Blog

Social Inflation and Its Impact on Liability Insurance was last modified: November 30th, 2023 by CWG